Critical Radarby SAFETEE
First frame of the film SIGNAL: a substation at night in the rain

SIGNAL The film about the Critical Radar · created with AI

To the radar

KRITIS situation report · GermanyCritical Radarby SAFETEEKnow what's coming

Forecasts in per cent. Sourced. Released by experts.

Your perspective

The difference

News report what happened. The radar says what is coming.

Energy · battery storage by end of 2027

The new grid fee rule for battery storage takes effect by the end of 2027

  • Source checked
  • Base rate of comparable cases
  • Released by the SAFETEE editorial team

The SAFETEE Critical Radar is a situation report for Germany on critical infrastructure, energy projects and major construction sites – with forecasts that state a probability, a deadline and a source. A new issue appears weekly, on Fridays.

Forecasts in the radar

What is coming – as a percentage.

Clear statements with a probability and a deadline. Tap a row for the basis.

  1. Energy

    The substation is connected to the grid by 30 June 2027

    6 months 65%+5

    Permit granted, transformer delivery confirmed with four weeks of buffer; base rate of comparable connections 70 %.

    Early warning signs: Transformer delay, objection in the grid area

  2. Security

    Within three months, another drone above an energy facility is reported in the district

    3 months 75%+10

    Three sightings in two weeks; similar clusters elsewhere lasted ten weeks on average.

    Early warning signs: New police reports, clustering at weekends

  3. Law

    The district issues a general order on drone flights above energy facilities by year end

    3 months 30%−5

    Political pressure is rising, but no draft so far; comparable orders elsewhere took six to nine months.

    Early warning signs: Draft in the district council, hearing scheduled

  4. Supply chains

    Lead times for large transformers stay above 18 months

    6 months 80%±0

    Manufacturer data and tenders show 18–24 months; new capacity in 2028 at the earliest.

    Early warning signs: New plants in operation, falling order intake

  5. Construction

    Weather delays the foundation works by more than four weeks

    6 months 40%+8

    Long-term average of frost days at the site; three weeks of buffer in the schedule.

    Early warning signs: Frost periods above ten days, heavy rain

  6. Law

    Requirements for heavy transport are tightened by March 2027

    12 months 20%±0

    Existing permits remain valid until end of March 2027; no legislative initiative known.

    Early warning signs: Draft bill, change of administrative rules

  7. Energy

    The repowering permit stays on schedule

    12 months 70%+3

    Complete documents, no objections in the first consultation; base rate in the state 72 %.

    Early warning signs: Species-protection objections, staff changes at the authority

  8. Supply chains

    The steel price escalation clause is triggered (increase above 10 %)

    12 months 15%−2

    Steel prices sideways for six months; futures without upward signal.

    Early warning signs: New tariffs, energy price jump

previous issuenowTap a row for the basis and early warning signs.

Examples from the anonymised sample order “wind farm repowering”, values fictitious.

What makes it different

Four promises we can be held to.

Politics · 3 monthsvh-0281

30%

Base rate 6–9 months · deadline 31 Dec 2026

The district issues a general order on drone flights above energy facilities1, 2

¹ Police Saxony-Anhalt, 14 Oct 2026 · checked statement W-0281

² Comparable cases in other districts · base rate

Released

Editorial team · 20 Oct 2026 · reason logged

Scoring: above 50 % the event should happen, below 50 % it should not. Example, values fictitious.

Situation in Germany

What matters. On one map.

The radar continuously scans police reports, official warnings and grid-operator notices. The editorial team selects the incidents at critical infrastructure that change something and places them, verified, on the map – filterable by state and type.

26 incidents in 14 days · example

  • Arson attack on cable duct
  • Drone over airport grounds
  • Power outage after substation fault
  • Cyber attack on construction-site IT
  • Tampering at port facility
  • Drone sighting above substation
  • Cable theft on railway line
  • Medium-voltage grid disruption
  • Drone above wind farm
  • Attack on control centre
  • Fire in transformer station
  • Damage at subsea cable landing
  • Drone above power plant site
  • Power outage in industrial park
  • Phishing wave against municipal utility
  • Copper theft on construction site
  • Arson attack on rail cables
  • Drone sighting above refinery
  • Grid disruption after storm
  • Ransomware at logistics firm
  • Fire at battery storage
  • Tampering with wind turbine
  • Drone above substation
  • District heating control outage
  • Arson at cable bridge
  • DDoS on municipal IT
  • Sabotage
  • Arson, theft
  • Drone
  • Outage
  • Cyber

Global situation

The world acts on Germany. We show how.

  • red: acute
  • yellow: tense
  • green: calm
  • burdening effect
  • uncertain effect

Hotspots and traffic lights: excerpt from a current situation report. Arrow strength simplified. Political systems according to V-Dem (CC BY-SA 4.0).

  • 12hotspots in the current report
  • 15channels of effect on Germany
  • 3 · 6 · 12months forecast horizon

Sample layout

Your situation report. Everything on one sheet.

Fictitious sample. Your PDF is tailored to your project.

CRITICAL RADAR · Situation report

Wind farm repowering, Saxony-Anhalt

Sample layout · Project package

1Situation

  • Grid connection: permit for the substation granted, construction window remains tight13
  • Security: drone sightings above substations in the district2
  • Occupational safety: no new requirements for heavy transport in the period1

2Forecasts

  • 65%The substation is connected to the grid by 30 June 202713Deadline 30.06.2027
  • 30%The district issues a general order on drone flights above energy facilities by year end2Deadline 31.12.2026

3Impact of the global situation

  • Supply chainsmedium impactLead times for large transformers remain long (18–24 months); the site schedule holds the confirmed date.
  • Construction costslow impactSteel prices moving sideways; contract secured with a price escalation clause until 2027.

4Sources

  1. 1State administration office of Saxony-Anhalt, permit (anonymised)
  2. 2Saxony-Anhalt police, press releases
  3. 3Federal Network Agency, grid expansion

What is on the radar

One picture. Many sources.

  • Presseportal · police & fire
  • German Bundestag · DIP
  • Federal Network Agency · SMARD
  • Energy-Charts · Fraunhofer ISE
  • German Weather Service
  • NINA · BBK warnings
  • PEGELONLINE
  • Destatis · GENESIS
  • Robert Koch-Institut
  • UCDP · V-Dem
  • Incidents
  • Construction & energy
  • Law & deadlines
  • Occupational safety
  • World & humanity
  • Sentiment & history

Selection of sources; licences on the page Sources and licences.

Our principle

Know what's coming.

Critical Radar is not an archive of reports – it is a situation picture. From thousands of reports, the SAFETEE editorial team selects what changes something for operations, projects and regions, verifies it down to the source and approves it. The result is a reliable situation picture – focused on what matters to you.

  1. 1

    Selection

    From thousands of reports, the editorial team picks what matters to you.

  2. 2

    Verification

    Every statement is checked down to the source.

  3. 3

    Approval

    A named approver decides; nothing essential goes online automatically.

Focused on your company: site · region · industry · your questions.

How we check

Critical Radar collects – with AI support. The SAFETEE editorial team decides.

Scroll through the seven steps – the example builds up on the left. Nothing essential goes online automatically.

  1. 1

    Source

    A police report lands in the radar via official feeds. Without a source, nothing goes further.

  2. 2

    Selection

    The editorial team selects from thousands of reports what changes something for operations, projects and regions. Four criteria: impact, proximity, industry, legal or cost consequence.

  3. 3

    Knowledge

    The scan compares sources, the editorial team confirms: a checked statement with an index number.

  4. 4

    Situation

    The statement becomes an entry in the right section – with traffic light, federal state and area.

  5. 5

    Forecast

    From several statements and a base rate, a forecast with a probability and a deadline emerges – footnotes per sentence.

  6. 6

    Release

    Only a named reviewer, signed in via Microsoft, releases. Every decision with reasons in the log.

  7. 7

    Evaluation

    After the deadline the forecast is scored. The lesson flows into the calibration of the next forecasts.

Example, fictitious values

Who is behind it

Experts in risk assessment. Not an algorithm.

Editorial responsibility

Marc Riegel

Dipl.-Ing. safety engineering · CEO SAFETEE GmbH

  • Expert in risk analysis and risk assessment
  • Assessor and expert witness for occupational safety and HSE management
  • Managing director of SAFETEE since 2013

Editorial team · Profile on LinkedIn

  • Jennifer StöckelChief of Staff · Critical Radar team
  • Jan PeukmannCOO · HSE on construction sites
  • Björn AndresenCSO · Safety consulting for companies

In conversation · Marc RiegelAI-generated scene · SAFETEE situation centre

What is the Critical Radar, Mr Riegel?

A situation report for everyone who builds, operates or invests in Germany. We collect incidents, legislation, the global situation and project data and state in per cent how likely the next developments are. Every statement has a source, every forecast is released by a person from the SAFETEE editorial team. In short: not an opinion, but an assessment we can be held to.

Read the full interview · 14 questions

For companies

Your project. Your radar.

SAFETEE sets up a search profile for your project and delivers situation reports, forecasts and a fixed contact.

The enquiry How working with SAFETEE begins – from the first question to the first forecast. English narration, clients in their original languages with English subtitles. Images and voices created with AI.

What is a project?

  1. 1Sectore.g. energy
  2. 2Type of projecte.g. new battery storage
  3. 3Regione.g. Saxony-Anhalt
  4. Your search profileincidents, law, global situation and forecasts on exactly this project

Which package fits? Five clicks, instant recommendation.

Users
Own project
Individual forecasts
Reaction to a change
SAFETEE advice

Our recommendation

Projekt

€1,990 per month, net

One project with regular forecasts and an assessment within 2 working days.

Enquire with this recommendation

Entry

Fokus

€990 per month, net

3 individual forecasts per year, followed up

  • 1 project · 3 users
  • Weekly situation report as PDF
  • Incident map of your region
Enquire about Fokus

For projects

Projekt

€1,990 per month, net

6 individual forecasts per year, followed up

  • Up to 3 projects · 5 users
  • Ad hoc on a change within 2 working days
  • Global hotspots rated per project
  • Quarterly call · 10 % off the SAFETEE day rate
Enquire about Projekt

Long term

Partner

from €4,900 per month, net, on request

By agreement individual forecasts, followed up + AI draft

  • Projects at several sites · 10 users
  • Ad hoc within 2 working days, fixed contact, monthly call
  • 2 days per quarter included (HSE, H&S coordination, crisis exercise)
Enquire about Partner

Fokus, Projekt and Partner start with an initial analysis (€2,850 once, net). Term 12 months. Radar Basis can be booked monthly or yearly.

Free

Project check: a short report on your project

Describe your project in a minute. The editorial team sends you the short report as a PDF within 2 working days.

Offers for businesses only, all prices net. Your situation report comes weekly; the public issue of the radar appears on Fridays. Customers work in “My radar”.

Make an enquiry

We get back to you within two working days. Your enquiry goes to radar@safetee.eu.

Required fields are marked with *.

Region
Choose federal states

Questions and answers

Frequently asked.

As of 28 October 2026

Does Critical Radar show every incident?

No – by design. Critical Radar is a situation picture, not an archive of reports. The SAFETEE editorial team selects from thousands of reports the incidents and events that change something for operations, projects and regions, verifies them down to the source and approves them. With a company package this selection is focused on your site, region, industry and questions.

What is the SAFETEE Critical Radar?

The Critical Radar is a situation report by SAFETEE GmbH on critical infrastructure, energy projects and major construction sites in Germany. It combines incidents, legislation, the global situation and project data, states forecasts with a probability and names the source and reviewer of every statement. It appears weekly, on Fridays, in German and English.

Who is the Critical Radar for?

For everyone who builds, operates or invests in Germany and has to see early what is shifting: operators of critical infrastructure and energy projects, construction companies and general contractors, project managers, HSE managers and health and safety coordinators, project developers and investors before a market entry or an investment decision.

How are the forecasts created?

Each forecast starts from checked statements in the radar's knowledge base and base rates from comparable cases. It names a probability, a deadline, its assumptions and early warning signs. AI runs propose and justify; a named reviewer from the editorial team decides whether a forecast is published. Every sentence of the basis carries a footnote to its source.

How do you check whether forecasts were right?

After its deadline every forecast is evaluated. What counts is the direction: above 50 % it should come true, below 50 % it should not. A 30 % forecast that does not happen was therefore correct. Results are published as a table, including the misses, and feed a calibration loop that improves later forecasts.

Which sources does the radar use?

Primarily official and openly licensed sources: warnings from federal authorities, the Federal Network Agency, police press releases, the Bundestag documentation system (DIP), energy market data such as SMARD and ENTSO-E, and the V-Dem index for political systems. Without a source nothing is published; licences are listed on the sources page.

What role does AI play?

AI researches, pre-checks sources, proposes entries and forecasts and translates into English. It does not publish anything itself. Every proposal must state reasons, including why something should be left out. People check and release, and every decision is logged. Unchecked news ticker items are clearly marked as such.

What is KRITIS and what does the KRITIS umbrella act regulate?

KRITIS stands for critical infrastructure: facilities such as energy, water, transport or health whose failure would cause considerable disruption. The KRITIS umbrella act, approved by the Bundesrat on 6 March 2026, regulates their physical protection: registration of critical facilities from 17 July 2026 at the earliest, risk analyses, resilience plans and reporting of significant disruptions within 24 hours. This is not legal advice.

How often does the radar appear, and in which languages?

A new issue is published weekly, on Fridays. In between, the radar is updated continuously; each issue freezes the state at its release date and is available as a complete PDF with a source index in the archive. All content appears in German and English; the English version is translated with AI and checked by the editorial team.

How do I get access?

The radar is currently in internal test operation; access is via a SAFETEE account with Microsoft sign-in (Login, top right). Companies can already request research packages tailored to their project. Public access and customer accounts “My Radar” will follow once licences, prices and legal texts have been finalised.

What packages are there?

Three packages for companies, graded by breadth of topics and depth: Fokus with one project (a search profile of sector, project type and region), a weekly report and 3 individual forecasts per year, Projekt with up to three projects, ad hoc reports on a change of situation (response within 2 working days) and 6 individual forecasts per year, and Partner with unlimited projects, a dedicated contact, consulting days included and individual forecasts by agreement. Individual forecasts are tracked continuously until the due date. Fokus, Projekt and Partner start with an initial analysis (€2,850 once, net). Term 12 months. Radar Basis can be booked monthly or yearly. Prices, all net per month: Radar Basis (read access) from €249, Fokus €990, Projekt €1,990; Partner from €4,900 and the Standort tier on request.

Contact

Know early what's coming.

Tell us your sector, project type and region. We will show you what the radar sees for you.

Marc Riegel

Managing Director · editorially responsible

radar@safetee.eu · +49 234 58885-0

SAFETEE GmbH · Wasserstraße 221 · 44799 Bochum